Friday, March 10, 2017

5 Tips For Retail Investors

There are many ways to make money. For instance, one can work, start a business, and invest, etc. For Mr Phan Tjun Sern, the founder of Shares Investment and the Chief Executive Officer at Pioneers & Leaders (Publishers) Pte Ltd, business and investment are the ways to go.
In the last weekend, Mr Phan attended a stocks investment experience sharing session organised by Singapore Sam Kiang Huay Kwan, where he shared with retail investors the methods that enabled him to beat the stock market over the years.

Find out WHY people purchase stocks

During the opening, Mr Phan pointed out that there are always people buying and selling in the stock market regardless of the time.
But in order to make money from the stock market, we must understand why people buy and sell, regardless of whether we believe in technical analysis or value investing. Only then, we can make use of opportunities out there.

The key is to grasp the big picture

Mr Phan attributes his success in the stock market to him being able to see and grasp the big picture.
For instance, when “financial crocodile” George Soros attacked Asian currencies, triggering the Asian Financial Crisis, Mr Phan bought Singapore bank stocks in large amounts as he was sure that Singapore banks would survive the crisis and not go bankrupt.
At that point of time, the share price of Overseas Union Bank (now acquired by United Overseas Bank) had fallen to around $1.80, but Mr Phan reasoned that it could not get any lower. It turns out that OUB shares rose back up to over $10 afterwards.
When the US was launching an attack on Iraq, many investors were concerned that it would damage the US economy severely like what happened during the Vietnam War.
But Mr Phan, who was aware of the US’s immense technological advancements, thinks otherwise. He further speculated that the war would be unlikely to affect tobacco consumption, and thus he boldly purchased the shares of British American Tobacco.
In other words, over the years, Mr Phan had been making money from the stock market through simple logical thinking and careful analysis of the overall situation, every time a major event occurs.

Enter with caution and back out in time

Besides knowing how to seize the opportunity, retail investors should know how to back out in time, said Mr Phan. An example is recovering one’s capital after stock prices have rebounded as expected.
Furthermore, he opined that investors should select stocks carefully, and they should just aim to purchase good stocks at the right time, instead of being obsessed about purchasing at the “lowest price”.
To sum up his points, here are five ways that can help retail investors beat the market:
  1. Analyse why people are buying and selling stocks
  2. Grasp the big picture
  3. Value stock quality over quantity
  4. Buy at a bargain or a relatively cheap pricing
  5. Recover the invested capital first when stock prices grow, and exit at appropriate timings


Reproduced from: Aspire. http://aspire.sharesinv.com/40940/shares-investment-founder-5-tips-retail-investors/

【转贴】散户要立于不败之地应采取的5个方法

谋生致富的方法,包括打工、做生意和投资。《股市资讯》的创办人兼总编范春生先生选择的致富道路,就是做生意和投资。
在刚过去的周末,范春生先生出席了在新加坡三江会馆举办的一场股市投资经验分享会,与散户分享了他多年来能在股市中保持不败战绩的方法。

找出人们买卖股票的理由

范先生在一开场时说,无论任何时候,股市中总有人在买,有人在卖。要靠投资股票赚钱,我们就必须先搞清楚为什么有人要买进、有人要卖出。无论你相信技术分析(technical analysis)还是价值投资(value investing),唯有搞清楚人们买卖股票的理由,才能“有机可乘”。

掌握大局是关键

范先生表示,他这么多年来能够立于不败之地,主要原因在于他会尝试看大局。掌握好大局,我们才能判断出买卖时机。
比方说,在金融大鳄索罗斯(George Soros)狙击亚洲货币,引发亚洲金融危机的时期,他就大举买入新加坡的银行股,原因是他认为,新加坡的银行一定挺得住,不可能破产。当时,华联银行的股价一度跌至一块八毛多,但范先生认为股价已经跌到不能再跌了。果然,华联银行的股价之后一路回升至十块多。
在美国攻打伊拉克时,许多投资者曾担心,美国可能会像打越战那样遇上麻烦。范先生却不以为然,因为他认为美国掌握的科技已经不可同日而语,而且伊拉克是沙漠,不像越南。他进而推测,就算是打仗,人们还是会抽烟的,因此果敢地买入英美烟草的股票。
他表示,这么多年下来,当有重大事件发生时,他都是靠仔细分析大局,以简单的逻辑思考,从而在股市中赚到钱。

适时收手,不随便出手

范先生表示,除了要懂得把握时机外,散户也应该要懂得适时收手,比如在股价如预期般回升时先拿回成本,这样才能立于不败之地。
另外,他认为,投资者应该要慎选股票,不要随便买。只要能够看准机会,买入几只不错的股票就行了。投资者也不应执着于“买在最低点”,能在差不多便宜的价位买入,就能取得不错的回报了。

总结——能立于不败之地的投资方法:


转贴自:《股市资讯-成就》http://cj.sharesinv.com/20170307/44546/

Tuesday, March 7, 2017

Ambank 股价走势的回顾

最近Ambank 的股价突然冲升,几个人或短讯或电邮 我现在是否还可以买入。

我不知道他们问我的真正意图是什么。但是,我猜想大概 是想在这个股投机吧。

对于这样的问题,坦白说我是不会明目张胆地告诉他们可以还是不可以,毕竟会这样问问题的人肯定是新手。新手既然无知,我更不能凭一言而给予误导。那不是我的作风,何况不到四个月内该股已经上涨了接近30%,投机我也没有100%的把握,又是那么公开的讲出来。

其实,我之前之所以看好这个股,除了它的基本面已达标之外,最主要的原因,还是因为这个股的股价趋势已来到跌势的尾端,处于盘整与上升开始前。大家可以比较以下两个当时与现在的股价图。




目前,Ambank 的股价已来到了一个主要的阻力点。对于将来股价的走势,我心中自然已有个稿。由于长期研究与观察此股的技术图,当此股来到某一个价位时,我agak-agak是能知道它是否是处于顶部,在某个价位时大马股市整体大市是否将无法再上升,应该脱手等等。

当然你们不要问我怎样看出来。 任何人只要能花上足够的时间,专心肯埋头钻研的话,在技术上是一定会有些明悟的。 不肯虚心学习而只想跑捷径快速知道答案的话,讲出来反而是害了大家,妨碍大家在股市研究上的成长,并造成大家对技术分析的不负责任.



以下为相关的主题:

再看 Ambank (4.36)

Friday, March 3, 2017

看好前景,继续加码

三月份一开始,股市就迎向更高的价位冲刺。由于对未来还是看好,月初我在一些组合里占有率不高,同时落后的股项中继续加码。

截至今日,我的股票投资率已达92.47%,现金只保留7.53%而已,至于备用投资资金,则占股票组合的12.5%。

组合回酬方面,第一组合是+9.01%,第二组合是+10.77%,总回酬是+9.84%,吉隆坡综合指数的上涨是+4.06%。